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  1. Power Shift - Chapter 2

    ... ago, in 1498, when Vasco da Gama brought Portuguese naval power to India. America’s role today is simply the latest episode of what ... contests American primacy over the next few decades, Western power will no longer hold strategic sway and Asia will be master of its own ... started to think about our place in the world. If China’s power displaces America’s primacy, we will have to start thinking about our ... as Taiwan. China was becoming too important to us.  The shift towards China was obscured by Howard’s strong support for Bush after ... leaders will do any better.  Like climate change, the issue seems too hard for our political system to handle. Despite the clear ... And it is easy to hope that, like climate change, the issue will just go away. Power Shift - Chapter 2 ...


  2. Power Shift - Chapter 15

    POWER TRIP Correspondence Brian Howe David Marr’s essay on ... asked his caucus to get to know and understand the issue of homelessness, and his government has made the most significant ... without their political influence.  Brian Howe Power Shift - Chapter 15 ...


  3. Power Shift - Chapter 8

    DIFFICULT CONVERSATIONS China’s growing power does not threaten Australia, but it does undermine the international ... the need for change. As Asia’s strategic plates shift, trying to preserve the order that has worked so well for us until now ... would be for America to relinquish primacy and share power with China and the other major powers in a Concert of Asia. This is also ... is particularly hard for America, because as the strongest power and the current leader, it has to begin the cycle of compromise if it is ... because the chances of moving American opinion on this issue are so small. That may underestimate both us and the Americans. America ... concerns Taiwan. The US and China have managed the Taiwan issue quite well in recent years, but it remains a fundamental point of ... solutions here at home. No one is doing that.  Power Shift - Chapter 8 ...


  4. Power Shift - Sources

    ... era”: see, for example, Hedley Bull, “The New Balance of Power in Asia and the Pacific,” For eign Affairs , Vol. 49, No. 4, July ... the West”: the story of China’s long journey back to power is well told by Jonathan Fenby in The Penguin History of Modern China: The Fall and Rise of a Great Power, 1859–2008 , Allen Lane, London; New York, 2008. “Sceptics about ... Cook, Raoul Heinrichs, Rory Medcalf and Andrew Shearer, Power and Choice: Asian Security Futures , which is available at < ... “The issue of Soviet–American relations is in essence”: from George Kennan, ... Studies, Sydney, 1998. David L. Shambaugh (ed.), Power Shift: China and Asia’s New Dynamics , University of Cali-fornia Press, ... and China , PublicAffairs, New York, 1999. Power Shift - Sources ...


  5. Power Shift - Chapter 1

    POWER SHIFT Australia’s Future between Washington and Beijing Hugh White ... On the other hand, we expect America to remain the strongest power in Asia, the region’s natural leader and Australia’s ultimate ... and made Australia very secure. China’s growing wealth and power, by contesting America’s leadership, upsets all this. A new order will ... was during the Cold War. A Chinese challenge to American power in Asia is no longer a future possibility but a current reality. Few ... understands Asia’s dynamics as well as anyone, avoided the issue as prime minister, worried that it might make voters uneasy. Tony Abbott ... No wonder we would like things to stay the same. Power Shift - Chapter 1 ...


  6. Power Shift - Chapter 16

    POWER TRIP Correspondence James Boyce David Marr’s analysis of the fuel powering our former prime minister’s “power trip” only deepened the mystery concerning his core political values. ... to assassinate Hitler. Bonhoeffer’s move to the centre of power and subversive political action after 1938 as one of a small group of ... limited application to the more complex reality of worldly power. Marr’s view that “fascination with Bonhoeffer was odd for a man with ... new life involved the pursuit of both influence and power, and he drew on extensive personal networks to achieve this. Bethge ... Monthly essay was largely a manifesto for opposition, not power. It gave no sense of Bonhoeffer’s later theological or life journey, ... value of talking with saints. James Boyce Power Shift - Chapter 16 ...


  7. Power Shift - Chapter 17

    POWER TRIP Response to Correspondence David Marr “Wow! Just as ... for Rudd. As to the outcome: I make no prediction.  Power Trip has been generously received and Rudd’s fall has allowed many to ... the problems I identified in the man and his management of power. Some of this wonderful new material emerges in the correspondence to ... of indiscretion sweeping the nation. Two responses to Power Trip surprised me. At a do in a Sydney bookshop a few days after ... any reading of his career shows the control of anger is an issue with Rudd. His rage at the hapless RAAF stewardess who brought him the ... Rudd. My sense is that from first to last, Rudd exercised power – the power he had craved for so long – not as the leader of his ... Rudd’s power trip to an end.  David Marr Power Shift - Chapter 17 ...


  8. Power Shift - Chapter 6

    ... to China’s rise. It can withdraw from Asia, share power with China, or compete with it for primacy. The least likely choice for ... the calculation changes as the situation changes. Sharing power with China or competing with it will be much less appealing to America than the primacy of recent decades. The more China’s power grows, and the more it costs the US to maintain primacy, the more ... enough to threaten the American homeland by projecting its power over the Pacific or Atlantic oceans. They fought the great wars of the ... we need as the basis for a concert of power. That makes the issue of trust easier to manage, because at least all parties start by agreeing ... his most famous essay with these chilling words:  The issue of Soviet–American relations is in essence a test of the overall worth ... unless somebody does something big to stop it. Power Shift - Chapter 6 ...


  9. Power Shift - Chapter 9

    ... It has some attractions. The US will remain a very strong power, so it would still be able to offer us a lot of protection against China, ... risk of being drawn into a major war with a nuclear-armed power would be much greater than ever before. We would end up less secure and ... and powerful friend.” We have done this before: as British power faded through the last century, we switched allegiance to America. We ... There are some big questions, though. First, which great power would we choose? One obvious candidate is China itself. We have ... we will see, it would be neither easy nor cheap. Another issue is that our geostrategic situation is different from either ... Kevin Rudd’s 2009 Defence White Paper reinstated the issue at the top of the agenda, only to decide that we had nothing to worry ... essay are available at the end of the book. Power Shift - Chapter 9 ...


  10. Power Shift - Chapter 7

    HOME ALONE? Australia is a status quo power. We like the way Asia has worked until now. No other country in Asia – ... hard questions unanswered. How much political and strategic power are we happy for China to have as the price for peace? How much power are we prepared to see the US concede? What kind of new order would suit ... more room to manoeuvre than those closer to the centre of power. Compared to some of the possibilities, this is far from the worst future ... close and trusting relationship with the world’s strongest power, and we just take that for granted. Living in China’s orbit would ... would pay a high price for resisting Chinese pressure on any issue that mattered to them.  It is much more likely, however, that if ... accommodation as a betrayal of principle.  Power Shift - Chapter 7 ...